OPEC and other external influences
on the price of oil


Iran wants OPEC to cut 1.5 million barrels.  Iran called on OPEC Saturday [11/15/2008] to cut production by a further 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day when it meets in Cairo later this month, state television's Web site reported Saturday.  Iran's OPEC governor, Mohammad Ali Khatibi, said the cartel needs to act to slash output because demand for oil has declined due to the global financial meltdown.

OPEC May Cut 1 Million Barrels in Cairo, Survey Shows.  OPEC, supplier of more than 40 percent of the world's oil, will probably announce plans to lower supply for the third time in as many months to prevent prices plunging toward $50 a barrel, a Bloomberg survey showed.

OPEC's Heavy Hand:  Though we have to conclude that while it is due largely to both Wall Street's corruption and politicians' abuse of the system handed the tools of doom to the middle class, Main Street's rapid disenfranchisement was manufactured overseas, thousands of miles away, at the hands of many of the members of OPEC, the oil-producing Cartel.

The Death Of OPEC.  Saudi Arabia walked out on OPEC yesterday [9/10/2008].  It said it would not honor the cartel's production cut.  It was tired of rants from Hugo Chavez of Venezuela and the well-dressed oil minister from Iran.  As the world's largest crude exporter, the kingdom in the desert took its ball and went home.

Skyrocketing Oil Prices Stump Experts.  Executives from the giant oil companies say it's partly the fault of "speculators" or financial players.  Key financial players say it's really a question of limited supply and expanding global demand.  Some members of Congress accuse the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries for bottling up some of its production capacity.  And OPEC blames speculators, wasteful U.S. consumers and feckless U.S. policy.  Almost everyone points at China's growing appetite for fuel.

The disinformation age:  The folks over at OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, must think we're pretty stupid.  The other day, Chakib Khelil, the current OPEC president, asserted that "the intrusion of bioethanol on the market" is responsible for 40 percent of recent increases in the price of oil.  Now how exactly would that work?  How does growing sugarcane in Brazil or corn in Iowa push up the price of oil sucked from holes in the ground in Saudi Arabia, Iran and Venezuela?

OPEC wants substantial cut in oil output.  OPEC will need to order a "substantial" cut in oil output at next week's emergency meeting in Vienna, Algerian Energy Minister and current OPEC chief Chakib Khelil said.  "There will be a reduction in production at the next extraordinary meeting of OPEC, and it will have to be a substantial one to get the balance right between supply and demand," he told reporters on Saturday [10/18/2008].

Oil bets pushed 2008 prices.  Speculation by large investors — not supply and demand for oil — was a primary reason for the surge in oil prices during the first half of the year and the more recent price declines, an independent study concluded Wednesday [9/10/2008].  The report by Masters Capital Management said investors poured $60 billion into oil futures markets during the first five months of the year as oil prices soared from $95 a barrel in January to $145 a barrel by July.

Is oil going back under $100 a barrel?  Not if OPEC can help it.  It is true that the price of oil is down.  In early July, the price peaked at $147 a barrel.  Yesterday [9/5/2008] it hit $106.  A fall of almost 30% in two months suggests the old rule that "nothing cures high prices like high prices" may finally be working in the oil market.

Giant Saudi Field is Key to Boosting Oil Output.  What happens over the next year at Khurais, one of Saudi Arabia's last undeveloped giant oil fields, could hold the key to what drivers will pay at the pump for years to come.  Under way at Khurais and two other smaller fields nearby is what Saudi Arabia calls the single largest expansion of oil production capacity in history.

Energy's Prevailing Winds:  An interview with T. Boone Pickens.  "According to the crude oil report, as of today [March 12] we have imported crude oil at the cost for $1.4 billion for the week.  Multiply 52 weeks times $1.4 billion.  You'll get right at $600 billion a year you're paying for imported crude oil.  We can't keep doing that.  It's the greatest transfer of wealth ever recorded in the history of the world."

OPEC chief:  Oil prices would go higher regardless of supply.  OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah el al-Badri said Sunday [4/20/2008] oil prices would likely go higher and that the group was ready to raise production if the price pressure was due to a shortage of supply — something he doubted.  "Oil prices, there is a common understanding that has nothing to do with supply and demand," al-Badri said on the sidelines of an energy conference in Rome.

Going After OPEC:  Hillary Clinton says she wants to dismantle OPEC if she becomes president. ... But Clinton's plan to go after OPEC is a slick PR exercise, and her recent threats against U.S. oil companies are downright dangerous.  "(Oil companies) have record profits," she said, "that they frankly are just sitting there counting because they are not doing anything new to earn it; they are just taking advantage of what's going on."  This is patently false.

Hugo Chavez Cuts His Own Throat.  Venezuela president Hugo Chavez says he will not send anymore crude to Exxon. … Exxon can get oil elsewhere, at least for the time being.  It is likely to be supported in its fight by other large oil companies who have also been bullied by Chavez.

The choice is ours:  Big Oil or Chavez?  Political spin has little basis in energy reality; talk about energy independence is misleading and naive.  America is energy interdependent for the foreseeable future and policies should be made accordingly. … Big Oil companies combined control less than 10 percent of the world's conventional oil reserves.  So "Big Oil" cannot control gasoline prices.

Over 70 firms bid for Iraq oil contracts.  More than 70 international firms have registered to compete for tenders to help develop Iraq's oil reserves, seen as vital to providing the funds to rebuild the shattered country, Iraq's oil ministry said on Monday [2/18/2008].  Iraq currently produces only a fraction of its vast reserves, the third-largest in the world and among the cheapest to produce, and international oil firms have been positioning for years to gain access.

Iraq could have largest oil reserves in the world.  Iraq dramatically increased the official size of its oil reserves yesterday [5/19/2008] after new data suggested that they could exceed Saudi Arabia's and be the largest in the world.  The Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister told The Times that new exploration showed that his country has the world's largest proven oil reserves, with as much as 350 billion barrels.  The figure is triple the country's present proven reserves and exceeds that of Saudi Arabia's estimated 264 billion barrels of oil.

Iraq's Oil Surge:  For some American pols, everything that happens in Iraq is bad news, especially when it's good news for the U.S.  Iraq announced this week that it is inviting global competition to develop its major oil reserves, with 35 oil companies invited to bid.  By tapping outside capital and expertise, Iraq hopes to increase production by 60%, providing a much-needed boost to its own coffers and the world's tight oil supply.

The Triumph of OPEC:  For much of its 47-year existence, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has been a cartel in name only.  It could not control oil prices because many of its members regularly breached the production quotas that were intended to regulate the market. … But now OPEC may be the real deal:  a cartel that works.  If so, that's bad news for the rest of the world.

Iraq's revival boosted as oil production rises to 2.4m barrels a day.  Oil production in Iraq is at its highest level since the US-led invasion of 2003, reaching 2.4 million barrels a day, thanks largely to improved security measures in the north.  The country's Oil Ministry will shortly invite international oil companies to bid for contracts to help Iraq to boost output at its investment-starved "super-giant" oilfields. Production is expected to pass the prewar level of 2.6 million barrels by the end of the year, and Hussain al-Shahristani, the Iraqi Oil Minister, told The Times that he expected production to reach six million barrels a day within four years.

Oil Dependency is America's Ruin.  For the U.S. economy, oil dependence is a double whammy.  While it contributes to our economic decline, it allows OPEC governments, many of which do not have our best interests in mind, not only to laugh all the way to the bank but to literally own the bank.

Iraqi oil exceeds pre-war output.  Iraqi oil production is above the levels seen before the US-led invasion of the country in 2003, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The IEA said Iraqi crude production is now running at 2.3 million barrels per day, compared with 1.9 million barrels at the start of this year.

Crude Oil Declines to Five-Week Low Before OPEC Output Meeting.  Crude oil futures declined to their lowest in more than five weeks before an OPEC production meeting and amid signs of an economic slowdown in the U.S., the world's largest energy user.

Oil Falls a Third Day on Speculation OPEC May Raise Production.  OPEC currently has no plan to raise oil output when it meets next week in Abu Dhabi because the market is well supplied, Qatar's oil minister said today [11/28/2007].  Libya's top oil official said the group is unable to increase production any further.

Iran, Russia and Venezuela Feel the Benefits of Oil Price Rise.  High oil prices are fueling one of the biggest transfers of wealth in history.  Oil consumers are paying $4 billion to $5 billion more for crude oil every day than they did just five years ago, pumping more than $2 trillion into the coffers of oil companies and oil-producing nations this year alone.

Time for Congress to Lift OPEC's Immunity.  Since its inception in 1960, OPEC, which is dominated by Persian Gulf producers, has successfully restricted its member states' petroleum production, artificially distorting the world's oil supply to line its members' pockets.  Member states' production quotas are determined at semi-annual meetings of members' petroleum ministers and are at times changed through telephone consultations.

All About Oil:  Oil — the huge profits it provides and the insidious influence it gives those selling it — explains most of the world's worries over the Middle East.  No, that does not mean the United States is fighting in Iraq to get control of its petroleum.  For all the charges of "No blood for oil," the American occupation has neither been able to reverse a decline in oil production in Iraq nor alleviate skyrocketing oil prices worldwide.  And, recently, the first new contracts of the now-transparent Iraqi oil ministry went to non-American companies.

Oil Is Not Well.  Who are the major producers of oil in the world?  The unsettling answer is Saudi Arabia and Russia.  They produce about 9 million barrels of oil a day.  And who are the world's major producers of natural gas.  Again the answer is unsettling, Iran and Russia.  There are students of geopolitics with a special knowledge of energy resources who worry about this.

OPEC set to cut output amid carping over quotas.  Ministers from the 11-member Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries are likely to decide on a further cut in OPEC oil output when they gather Thursday [12/14/2006] in Abuja, Nigeria, analysts say.  The cartel, which regulates its oil supply to maximise export revenues and control prices, is eager to keep crude around 60 dollars per barrel and a further cut would support the market heading into the northern hemisphere winter.

Oil, Terror and Environmental Pipedreams:  Granted, there's no joy in knowing that a portion of our oil dollars is going to a handful of nations in the Middle East, but that is where, like Russia, a lot of oil exists.  However, the U.S. purchases quite a bit of its oil from Canada and Venezuela, and secures a significant portion from national reserves in the Gulf of Mexico.  No matter with which Middle East oil potentates we must make deals, the oil — a global commodity — is going to flow.

Venezuelan Oil Losing Share of Key U.S. Market.  A new study of trade and oil consumption data shows that Venezuela appears ever more dependent on selling its oil to the country Chávez calls "the cruelest, most terrible, most cynical, most murderous empire that has existed."  And U.S. government energy trade data show the United States is slightly less dependent on Venezuela, which at one time challenged Canada, Mexico and Saudi Arabia as the No. 1 provider of foreign oil but now tussles with up-and-coming Nigeria for the fourth spot.

U.S. Oil Imports:  Do you think all the oil we use comes from the Middle East?  You might be surprised.  See the list of countries from which the U.S. imports oil. [PDF]

Venezuela to join Nigeria in production cut as prices skid.  OPEC producer Venezuela plans to make a voluntary cut in supply along with fellow member Nigeria to boost sharply falling prices and counter slowing demand, an industry source said on Friday [9/29/2006].

Iraq Oil Output Highest Since Invasion.  Iraq is producing an average of 2.5 million barrels of oil a day, its highest level since the war began in 2003, an oil ministry spokesman said Wednesday [6/28/2006].  Assem Jihad said 1.6 million barrels are being exported daily from the southern port of Basra, while 300,000 are being pumped from the northern city of Kirkuk to the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

Billions in Oil Missing in Iraq, U.S. Study Says.  Between 100,000 and 300,000 barrels a day of Iraq's declared oil production over the past four years is unaccounted for and could have been siphoned off through corruption or smuggling, according to a draft American government report. … The report also covered alternative explanations for the billions of dollars worth of discrepancies, including the possibility that Iraq has been consistently overstating its oil production.

Russia's oil boom may be running on empty.  The Russian oil boom, which has produced a gusher of cash, political power and an opulent elite — and has helped fuel the country's renewed assertiveness in Georgia and elsewhere — is on shakier ground than officials in Moscow would like to admit.  Most of the oil produced after the country's 1998 financial collapse has come from drilling and re-drilling old Soviet oil fields with more advanced equipment — squeezing more black gold out of the same ground — and efforts to develop new fields have been slow or non-existent.

Eucador moves against US oil giant.  Ecuador began today [5/17/2006] to take over operations of US oil giant Occidental Petroleum Corp, the latest move in Latin America against foreign energy producers after nationalization in Bolivia and growing state intervention in Venezuela.

The Glories of Socialism.  Nancy Pelosi said a few weeks ago that we should nationalize the oil companies.  Well, Hugo Chavez has already done that and perhaps we should examine the results.

Another Venezuela crisis could add $11 to the price of oil.  Oil prices could jump by as much as $11 a barrel if world markets faced another loss of Venezuelan crude, says a US Government Accounting Office report.

U.S., Future Tense.  Buried in last week's news, the CIA director warned that the next president's top national security problem is the Axis of Oil.  With campaigns focused on wars all but won, will our next leader be ready?

OPEC ministers cut output at meeting.  The OPEC cartel on Friday [10/24/2008] decided to slash oil production by 1.5 million barrels a day as of next month in an attempt to stem plunging prices for crude.

OPEC Pushing to Cut Production, Drive Up Oil and Gasoline Prices.  Just as Americans are finally beginning to reap the benefits of plunging gasoline prices — including more money in their pockets — OPEC is getting ready to squeeze them once again by cutting oil production and driving up prices to refineries.




Terrorism, accidents, and military intervention drive up the price

Oil Surges After Enbridge Pipeline Blast Cuts Supply.  Oil surged more than $4 a barrel, the most in a month, after an explosion cut Canadian oil shipments through Enbridge Inc. pipelines that typically provide about 15 percent of U.S. crude imports.

The True Price Of Gas:  [It appears that] Mexican oil exports will stop seven years from now.  Latin America's biggest company is so undercapitalized that it has ceased deep-sea exploration, its only potential source of new crude.  The government that Mexican statists love so much depends on Pemex for almost 40 percent of its revenue, which means that by the time the populists get back into power they will not have funds left for their populist extravaganzas.

Output falling in oil-rich Mexico, and politics gets the blame.  Pemex is in trouble.  Its production and proven reserves are falling, and it has no money to reverse the slide.  Mexico is the second-largest supplier of imported oil to the United States, after Canada, but its total exports are slipping.  If the company continues on its current course, Mexico may one day have trouble just keeping up with rising demand at home.

Oil Spikes on U.S. Plan to Double Strategic Reserves.  Oil extended today's rally [1/23/2007] after the White House said President Bush will seek a doubling of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to 1.5 billion barrels in tonight's State of the Union address.  Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said the government will start buying oil for the reserve in about two months.

Most oil is in the hands of governments.  National oil companies control the vast majority of the world's oil and natural gas reserves, but that doesn't mean bringing it to the surface is the host government's top priority, according to a massive study to be released today [3/1/2007] by Rice University.

Drilling for the Future:  Americans are paying more because the global price of a barrel of oil has been increased by fears of military conflict in the Middle East, probably initiated by Iran.  Americans are paying more because, in 2005, Hurricane Katrina and other hurricanes destroyed 115 oil platforms and damaged another 50, along with 183 pipelines in the Gulf of Mexico and refineries in Louisiana.  Despite this, the U.S. Mineral Management Service reported that there were no significant oil spills from offshore platforms and no oil reached the coastline.

Bolivia Military Told to Occupy Gas Fields.  President Evo Morales ordered soldiers to occupy Bolivia's natural gas fields Monday [5/1/2006] and threatened to evict foreign companies unless they give Bolivia control over the entire chain of production.

The Politics of Hurricanes.  One of the unremarked successes after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 was how quickly the nation's oil and gasoline markets returned to normal.  This was in part because Washington didn't try to control prices, and because the Bush Administration temporarily suspended environmental rules on reformulated gasoline.  It also released oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ease supply shortages.

Citgo requests 1 million barrels of SPR crude.  Citgo Petroleum said on Sunday it requested 1 million barrels of crude oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve for its 430,000 barrel per day oil refinery in Lake Charles, Louisiana, due to supply disruptions caused by hurricanes Gustav and Ike.




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